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Soluna Holdings, Inc (SLNH)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 revenue rose 37% QoQ to $8.42M on Dorothy 2 customer ramps; gross margin expanded to 28% (from 19% in Q2), aided by $0.4M one-time electricity credits .
- Against S&P Global consensus, revenue modestly missed ($8.42M vs $9.00M) while “Primary EPS” beat (actual -$0.423 vs -$0.61), though GAAP EPS was -$1.14 driven by large non-cash mark-to-market and financing items* .
- Balance sheet liquidity inflected: cash and restricted cash ended at $60.46M; unrestricted cash was $51.37M, supported by ~$64M gross capital raised and a new up-to-$100M Generate Capital facility .
- Strategic catalysts advanced: Dorothy 2 reached full capacity (Nov 13), and Project Kati broke ground (Sept 11) with 83 MW (Kati 1) targeted for early 2026 and 48 MW committed by Galaxy .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Gross margin improved to 28% as Dorothy 2 ramped and sites 1A/Sophie delivered strong unit economics (43.6% and 68.4% site-level margins); management highlighted “exceptional execution” and “a new Soluna” .
- Liquidity strengthened materially: cash and restricted cash grew to $60.46M with ~$64M gross capital formation; regained Nasdaq compliance .
- Pipeline and scale: surpassed 4 EH/s under management during Q3 and later >5 EH/s as Dorothy 2 fully energized; expanded partnership with Galaxy and closed an up-to-$100M scalable credit facility .
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What Went Wrong
- GAAP net loss widened to $(25.79)M on a $(22.05)M fair value loss (warrants) and $(4.75)M other financing expense, partially offset by a $10.11M gain on debt extinguishment/revaluation .
- Adjusted EBITDA declined to $(6.37)M due to higher compensation and professional fees; management’s “ex special charges” construct was near breakeven, but core adjusted EBITDA remained negative .
- Revenue was slightly below S&P consensus ($8.42M vs $9.00M), reflecting partial-quarter ramp at Dorothy 2 and steady-to-flat performance at other sites; demand response was modest at $0.39M* .
Financial Results
Segment revenue mix and project-level detail:
- Q3 2025 revenue mix: Cryptocurrency mining $2.769M; Data hosting $5.257M; Demand response $0.389M; HPC $0 .
- Q3 2025 gross profit by site: Dorothy 1A $0.720M; Dorothy 2 $0.339M; Sophie $0.961M; Other $0.301M; 1B $0.008M; total $2.329M .
Vs. S&P Global consensus (Q3 2025):
- Revenue: $8.42M vs $9.00M estimate (miss $0.58M, -6.5%)*
- “Primary EPS”: -$0.423 vs -$0.61 estimate (beat $0.187)*
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was found.
Management Commentary
- “This is a new Soluna… We’ve proven that our business model works and scales, strengthened our position as a leading Bitcoin hosting provider, and attracted new, world-class capital partners.” — John Belizaire, CEO .
- “We’ve also strengthened our capital structure to be more flexible and growth-oriented… [and] expand into the fast-growing AI market.” — John Belizaire, CEO .
- On Dorothy 2: “Our team delivered a complex, large-scale project on schedule, proving that Renewable Computing can be deployed quickly, reliably, and sustainably.” — John Belizaire, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was available; no formal Q&A to extract. Company reiterated growth drivers and milestones through the press release and investor materials .
Estimates Context
- Q3 revenue of $8.42M vs S&P Global consensus $9.00M (miss $0.58M, -6.5%); “Primary EPS” actual -$0.423 vs -$0.61 consensus (beat $0.187)*.
- Expect possible estimate revisions: mix shift toward hosting (higher-margin sites) and full Dorothy 2 contribution should support revenue trajectory, while non-cash P&L volatility (warrants fair value, debt revaluation) may complicate GAAP EPS modeling .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution inflection: Dorothy 2 ramp drove meaningful QoQ revenue growth and margin expansion; post-quarter completion should further support Q4 run-rate .
- Balance sheet de-risked: ~$60.46M cash & restricted cash and up-to-$100M facility provide runway to scale Kati and pipeline projects without undue equity reliance .
- Operating leverage ahead: Site-level margins at 1A/Sophie are robust; as Kati 1 (83 MW) comes online in early 2026 and Dorothy 2 seasons, consolidated margins should improve, barring hashprice shocks .
- GAAP optics vs core: Large non-cash fair value losses and financing items drove GAAP EPS to -$1.14; focus on underlying gross profit trajectory and project-level economics to gauge core progress .
- Catalysts: Continued customer deployments at Dorothy 2, Kati construction milestones, additional hosting contracts, and further institutional capital formation (Generate facility drawdowns) .
- Risks: Bitcoin hashprice sensitivity, project ramp timing, professional fee intensity, and potential volatility from warrant and financing fair value marks .
- Near-term trading setup: Headlines around Dorothy 2 completion, liquidity improvements, and Galaxy/Kati updates are constructive; watch for Q4 revenue step-up and operating expense discipline to confirm trajectory .
Footnotes:
- S&P Global consensus and “Primary EPS” figures (estimates and actuals) are from S&P Global and may differ from GAAP EPS reported in company filings. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Sources:
- Q3 2025 8-K press release and financials, Nov 17, 2025
- Q2 2025 8-K press release and financials, Aug 15, 2025
- Q1 2025 8-K press release and financials, May 16, 2025
- Project Dorothy 2 completion press release, Nov 13, 2025
- Project Kati groundbreaking press release, Sept 11, 2025
- Monthly business update, Sept 9, 2025